Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Sociedad at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Real Sociedad had 16 shots (5 on target) to Celta Vigo's 7 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Sociedad at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Real Sociedad had 16 shots (5 on target) to Celta Vigo's 7 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.4.
Real Sociedad 0–0 Celta Vigo, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Sociedad 44%, the draw 26% and Celta Vigo 31%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.4, Shots 16–7, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 6–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 11–3, Saves 2–5, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 0–0, so Real Sociedad failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Sociedad or draw 69%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.