FT · Europe: Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta VigoMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Omonia Nicosia win
30%
Result
Draw
27%
Celta Vigo win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.5
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.3 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.