How it finished
Atlético Madrid beat Real Sociedad 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Sociedad at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlético Madrid 36%. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 8 shots (3 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 13 (5), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid beat Real Sociedad 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Sociedad at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlético Madrid 36%. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 8 shots (3 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 13 (5), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid?
Real Sociedad 0–3 Atlético Madrid, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Sociedad 40%, the draw 25% and Atlético Madrid 36%.
What were the stats in Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–1.9, Shots 8–13, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 2–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 9–3, Saves 2–3, Fouls 13–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid?
No. It finished 0–3, so Real Sociedad failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Sociedad or draw 64%, it finished Atlético Madrid won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.