FT · Spain: La Liga · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Valencia 2–3 Real SociedadMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Valencia win
47%
Draw
26%
Real Sociedad win
27%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.2
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 2.7
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.