Portsmouth vs Cardiff City prediction — Championship · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK
Portsmouth 46Draw 28Cardiff City 27
The call
46%
Portsmouth to win
2.5
Goals expected
13d 13hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Portsmouth or draw73%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS50%
Portsmouth win to nil27%
Cardiff City or draw54%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W D L L W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
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Common questions

Who will win Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?

Bawler's model rates this match: Portsmouth are favoured (46% win probability vs 27% for Cardiff City, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Portsmouth 1-1 Cardiff City (13.2% probability). Expected total goals: 2.52.

How does Bawler predict Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Portsmouth 46%, the draw 28% and Cardiff City 27%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?

BTTS: Yes (50% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.46 and away expected goals 1.06.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Portsmouth vs Cardiff City?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.52. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Portsmouth form →Cardiff City form →