How it finished
Portland Timbers and St. Louis CITY SC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Portland Timbers at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 16 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 49%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Portland Timbers and St. Louis CITY SC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Portland Timbers at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 16 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 10 (4), with 52% of the ball against 49%.
What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis CITY SC, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portland Timbers 39%, the draw 25% and St. Louis CITY SC 36%.
What were the stats in Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Full-time: Possession 52%–49%, Shots 16–10, Shots on target 3–4, Corners 9–2, Saves 2–1, Fouls 10–21, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
Was Bawler's prediction for Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portland Timbers or draw 64%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.