What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Bawler's model rates this match: Portland Timbers are favoured (39% win probability vs 36% for St. Louis CITY SC, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Portland Timbers 1-1 St. Louis CITY SC (11.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.06.
How does Bawler predict Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Portland Timbers 39%, the draw 25% and St. Louis CITY SC 36%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
BTTS: Yes (61% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.57 and away expected goals 1.49.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.06. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).