FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 20 September 2026
St. Louis CITY SC 3–1 Toronto FCMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
St. Louis CITY SC win
56%
Result
Draw
24%
Toronto FC win
20%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.0
Total 2.9
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.6 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.