How it finished
Paris FC and Lyon drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Paris FC had 6 shots (4 on target) to Lyon's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Paris FC vs Lyon?
Paris FC and Lyon drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Paris FC had 6 shots (4 on target) to Lyon's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Paris FC vs Lyon?
Paris FC 0–0 Lyon, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Paris FC 34%, the draw 26% and Lyon 40%.
What were the stats in Paris FC vs Lyon?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.5, Shots 6–5, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 3–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 0–4, Fouls 19–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Paris FC vs Lyon?
No. It finished 0–0, so Paris FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Paris FC vs Lyon right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lyon or draw 66%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.