FT · France: Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Paris FC 2–1 StrasbourgMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Paris FC
2–1
Paris FC win
Strasbourg

Pre-match probability vs result

Paris FC win
41%
Result
Draw
25%
Strasbourg win
34%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.5
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.2
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.

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