New England Revolution vs New York City FC prediction — MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 21:30 UK

MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 21:30 UK
New England Revolution 41Draw 26New York City FC 33
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

New England Revolution and New York City FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. New England Revolution had 10 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 12 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.4.

New England…Full-time statsNew York City
52%Possession48%
2.3Expected goals (xG)1.4
10Shots12
6Shots on target5
8Shots inside box8
5Big chances3
6Corners4
4Saves4
6Fouls12
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNew England Revolution 41%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score57%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
New England Revolution to score78%
Over 1.5 goals78%
New York City FC to score74%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
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Common questions

Who won New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

New England Revolution and New York City FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. New England Revolution had 10 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 12 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.4.

What was the final score in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

New England Revolution 1–1 New York City FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New England Revolution 41%, the draw 26% and New York City FC 33%.

What were the stats in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.4, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 5–3, Corners 6–4, Saves 4–4, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

Yes — both New England Revolution and New York City FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for New England Revolution vs New York City FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said New England Revolution 41%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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