How it finished
Benfica beat Moreirense 4–0. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Moreirense had 8 shots (1 on target) to Benfica's 21 (9), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 3.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Moreirense vs Benfica?
Benfica beat Moreirense 4–0. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Moreirense had 8 shots (1 on target) to Benfica's 21 (9), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 3.0.
What was the final score in Moreirense vs Benfica?
Moreirense 0–4 Benfica, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Moreirense 11%, the draw 20% and Benfica 69%.
What were the stats in Moreirense vs Benfica?
Full-time: Possession 26%–74%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–3.0, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 1–9, Shots inside box 5–16, Big chances 1–6, Corners 3–7, Saves 5–1, Fouls 17–10, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Moreirense vs Benfica?
No. It finished 0–4, so Moreirense failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Moreirense vs Benfica right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Benfica to win 69%, it finished Benfica won (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.