FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Monday, 14 September 2026
Moreirense 3–1 MaritimoMatch recap · Monday, 14 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Moreirense win
37%
Result
Draw
28%
Maritimo win
35%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.3
Total 2.6
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.