How it finished
Fenerbahce beat Lyon 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Lyon had 17 shots (6 on target) to Fenerbahce's 16 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lyon vs Fenerbahce?
Fenerbahce beat Lyon 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lyon at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 23%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Lyon had 17 shots (6 on target) to Fenerbahce's 16 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Lyon vs Fenerbahce?
Lyon 1–2 Fenerbahce, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 53%, the draw 25% and Fenerbahce 23%.
What were the stats in Lyon vs Fenerbahce?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.6, Shots 17–16, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 12–12, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–7, Saves 6–5, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Lyon vs Fenerbahce?
Yes — both Lyon and Fenerbahce scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lyon vs Fenerbahce right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lyon 53%, it finished Fenerbahce (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 53%, it finished Missed.