FT · EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
Lyon 3–0 Sparta PragueMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Lyon at 68%, draw at 22%, Sparta Prague at 10%. The match ended 3-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Lyon.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Lyon win
68%
Actual ✓
Draw
22%
Prague win
10%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Home Win
Pre-match: 83%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
BTTS No
Pre-match: 51%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 26%
✗ Lost