Liverpool vs Fulham prediction — Premier League · Sat 12 Sept · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 12 Sept · 15:00 UK
Liverpool 53Draw 24Fulham 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Liverpool or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Liverpool and Fulham drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Liverpool had 14 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.

LiverpoolFull-time statsFulham
56%Possession44%
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.7
14Shots10
3Shots on target4
9Shots inside box8
4Big chances1
5Corners8
3Saves3
11Fouls8
1Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLiverpool or draw 77%Draw (24% called)
Total goals2.90
Both teams to score56%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Missed
Second pickLiverpool to win 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LiverpoolFulham
1.8
Goals+0.7
1.1
17.4
Shots+6.7
10.7
5.6
On target+2.3
3.2
6.0
Corners+1.9
4.1
LiverpoolFulham
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
7.9
Shots+3.1
4.8
2.7
On target+1.1
1.5
2.8
Corners+0.9
1.9
LiverpoolFulham
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8
9.5
Shots+3.6
5.9
2.9
On target+1.2
1.7
3.2
Corners+1.0
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Liverpool to score84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Fulham to score67%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Liverpool
59%
to score before half-time
Fulham
33%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

LiverpoolFulham
7.91st-half shots4.8
2.71st-half shots on target1.5
2.81st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

61%Chance of 7+ shots24%
39%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
70%Chance of 2+ shots on target42%
28%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
72%Chance of 2+ corners53%
32%Chance of 4+ corners16%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Liverpool7.99.5
Shots · Fulham4.85.9
Shots on target · Liverpool2.72.9
Shots on target · Fulham1.51.7
Corners · Liverpool2.83.2
Corners · Fulham1.92.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Liverpool 2 · Draws 2 · Fulham 1
Fulham in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Liverpool 2–0 Fulham
Jan 2026Fulham 2–2 Liverpool
Apr 2025Fulham 3–2 Liverpool
Dec 2024Liverpool 2–2 Fulham
Apr 2024Fulham 1–3 Liverpool
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Liverpool vs Fulham?

Liverpool and Fulham drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Liverpool had 14 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Liverpool vs Fulham?

Liverpool 0–0 Fulham, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 53%, the draw 24% and Fulham 23%.

What were the stats in Liverpool vs Fulham?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.7, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 5–8, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Liverpool vs Fulham?

No. It finished 0–0, so Liverpool failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Liverpool vs Fulham right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Liverpool or draw 77%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Liverpool to win 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Liverpool form →Fulham form →