Liverpool and Fulham drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Liverpool had 14 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Liverpool and Fulham drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Liverpool had 14 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.
Liverpool 0–0 Fulham, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 53%, the draw 24% and Fulham 23%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.7, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 5–8, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so Liverpool failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Liverpool or draw 77%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Liverpool to win 53%, it finished Missed.