FT · England: Premier League · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Fulham 1–1 Manchester UnitedMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Fulham win
32%
Draw
26%
Result
Manchester United win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.6
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.