FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Ipswich Town 2–1 FulhamMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Fulham or draw at 67%. Bawler had Ipswich Town at 33%, the draw at 26% and Fulham at 40%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Ipswich Town win
33%
Result
Draw
26%
Fulham win
40%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.5
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 78%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.