FT · England: Premier League · Sunday, 20 September 2026
AFC Bournemouth 0–1 LiverpoolMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AFC Bournemouth win
41%
Draw
25%
Liverpool win
34%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.5
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.