FT · England: EFL Cup · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Liverpool 3–1 Tottenham HotspurMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Liverpool win
56%
Result
Draw
24%
Tottenham Hotspur win
20%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.