How it finished
Liverpool beat Atlético Madrid 2–1. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Liverpool had 14 shots (5 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 9 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid?
Liverpool beat Atlético Madrid 2–1. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Liverpool had 14 shots (5 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 9 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid?
Liverpool 2–1 Atlético Madrid, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 67%, the draw 19% and Atlético Madrid 14%.
What were the stats in Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 14–9, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 12–4, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 3–5, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid?
Yes — both Liverpool and Atlético Madrid scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Liverpool to win 67%, it finished Liverpool won (67% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes.