KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht prediction — Belgian Pro League · Fri 11 Sept · 19:45 UK

Belgian Pro League · Fri 11 Sept · 19:45 UK
KV Mechelen 33Draw 26Anderlecht 42
Our call before kickoff
67%
Anderlecht or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Anderlecht beat KV Mechelen 1–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. KV Mechelen had 15 shots (4 on target) to Anderlecht's 14 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.9, so KV Mechelen created the better chances and still lost the game.

KV MechelenFull-time statsAnderlecht
34%Possession66%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.9
15Shots14
4Shots on target3
11Shots inside box9
3Big chances1
10Corners5
2Saves4
13Fouls21
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAnderlecht or draw 67%Anderlecht won (42% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KV MechelenAnderlecht
1.4
Goals+0.2
1.6
8.9
Shots+9.2
18.1
1.9
On target+4.5
6.4
2.9
Corners+6.1
9.0
KV MechelenAnderlecht
0.5
Goals
0.5
3.8
Shots+4.1
7.9
0.8
On target+1.9
2.7
1.3
Corners+2.9
4.2
KV MechelenAnderlecht
0.9
Goals+0.2
1.1
5.1
Shots+5.1
10.2
1.1
On target+2.6
3.7
1.5
Corners+3.2
4.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
Anderlecht to score80%
KV Mechelen to score75%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

KV Mechelen
49%
to score before half-time
Anderlecht
49%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

KV MechelenAnderlecht
3.81st-half shots7.9
0.81st-half shots on target2.7
1.31st-half corners4.2

First-half chances

14%Chance of 7+ shots62%
<10%Chance of 9+ shots39%
20%Chance of 2+ shots on target71%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
17%Chance of 3+ corners74%
<10%Chance of 5+ corners41%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · KV Mechelen3.85.1
Shots · Anderlecht7.910.2
Shots on target · KV Mechelen0.81.1
Shots on target · Anderlecht2.73.7
Corners · KV Mechelen1.31.5
Corners · Anderlecht4.24.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5KV Mechelen 1 · Draws 1 · Anderlecht 3
Anderlecht in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Anderlecht 2–2 KV Mechelen
Apr 2026KV Mechelen 1–2 Anderlecht
Mar 2026KV Mechelen 1–0 Anderlecht
Nov 2025Anderlecht 3–1 KV Mechelen
Jan 2025Anderlecht 4–1 KV Mechelen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht beat KV Mechelen 1–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. KV Mechelen had 15 shots (4 on target) to Anderlecht's 14 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.9, so KV Mechelen created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

KV Mechelen 0–1 Anderlecht, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Mechelen 33%, the draw 26% and Anderlecht 42%.

What were the stats in KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.9, Shots 15–14, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 3–1, Corners 10–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–21, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

No. It finished 0–1, so KV Mechelen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Anderlecht or draw 67%, it finished Anderlecht won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KV Mechelen form →Anderlecht form →