Bawler / BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group / KV Mechelen
Team profile · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group

KV Mechelen Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
9
9 settled
Goals for
1.35
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.71
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
78%
7/9 calls

KV Mechelen prediction: Bawler's model rates KV Mechelen at 1.35 expected goals scored and 1.71 conceded per match across 9 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 78% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No KV Mechelen fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

KV Mechelen sit close to the Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.35 expected goals a game and conceding 1.71. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.35 expected. Across 9 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on KV Mechelen have been correct 78% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 3D 5L
Real goals
1.0 – 2.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How KV Mechelen compare with the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group average, per match.

Goals for
1.35
Below average
Goals against
1.71
Leakier than most
Scored1.35
Conceded1.71

The grey line on each bar is the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group average (1.36 scored, 1.52 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.71 xG per match · +0.19 vs league average of 1.52.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 86% of the time on KV Mechelen fixtures (6/7).

📊 KV Mechelen in numbers

43 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 1.2✈️ 1.0
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 5.7
🏠 4.3✈️ 4.4
9.6
Shots · per game
faced 14.9
🏠 10.6✈️ 8.6
3.4
On target · per game
faced 5.5
🏠 3.5✈️ 3.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
0-2
@ Gent
🚩 -
09 Aug
0-2
@ KAA Gent
🚩 1-4
24 May
0-3
@ St.Truiden
🚩 2-2
21 May
2-2
vs Club Brugge
🚩 3-5
17 May
2-2
@ Anderlecht
🚩 2-2
10 May
0-3
@ Royale Union SG
🚩 3-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on KV Mechelen matches
78%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 9

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a KV Mechelen fixture, it is right 7 out of 9 (78%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 9)

Transfer activity

INLeo HjeldeCBfrom SunderlandUndisclosed
INKobe CorbanieRBfrom Royal AntwerpFree transfer
INCedric Van MeirvenneLMfrom Lierse€1m
INDennis PraetDMfrom Free agentFree transfer
INAdeshina Ayodelefrom Le LOSCUndisclosed
OUTMathis ServaisDMto Millwall€6m
OUTRedouane HalhalCBto Venezia€5m
OUTKerim MrabtiAMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTMauro LenaertsSTto Helmond SportLoan
OUTElton YeboahLWBto LierseFree transfer
OUTMory KonatéCBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTHassane BandéRWto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

KV Mechelen prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly