FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Royal Charleroi SC 2–0 KV MechelenMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Royal Charleroi SC or draw at 81%. Bawler had Royal Charleroi SC at 57%, the draw at 24% and KV Mechelen at 19%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Royal Charleroi SC win
57%
Result
Draw
24%
KV Mechelen win
19%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.0
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Royal Charleroi SC or draw
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.