FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Union St.-Gilloise 3–0 AnderlechtMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 30 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Union St.-Gilloise at 58%, draw at 23%, Anderlecht at 19%. The match ended 3-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Union St.-Gilloise.
> Pre-match probability vs result
St.-Gilloise win
58%
Actual ✓
Draw
23%
Anderlecht win
19%
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
1.94 – 1.03
Total 2.97
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.0 vs xG)
Total goals landed close to the model's expectation — within 0.0 of forecast. Suggests this match played to the underlying xG balance.
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
1X
Pre-match: 81%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 35%
✗ Lost