FT · Belgium: Pro League · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Cercle Brugge KSV 1–2 AnderlechtMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Cercle Brugge KSV or draw at 65%. Bawler had Cercle Brugge KSV at 40%, the draw at 24% and Anderlecht at 35%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Cercle Brugge KSV win
40%
Draw
24%
Anderlecht win
35%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.6
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.