FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 25 October 2026

Orlando City SC 2–2 New York City FCMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026

Pre-match probability vs result

Orlando City SC win
43%
Draw
24%
Result
New York City FC win
34%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.8 – 1.6
Total 3.4
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 1.7
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 3.4.

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