FT · USA: MLS · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
New York City FC 2–1 Atlanta United FCMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
New York City FC win
51%
Result
Draw
25%
Atlanta United FC win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.1
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.