Inter Miami CF vs Atlanta United FC prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK
Inter Miami CF 66Draw 18Atlanta United FC 16
Our call before kickoff
66%
Inter Miami CF to win
Missed
3.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
65%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
73%

How it finished

Inter Miami CF and Atlanta United FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.8 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 11 shots (3 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 15 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%.

Inter MiamiFull-time statsAtlanta…
50%Possession50%
11Shots15
3Shots on target5
6Corners6
4Saves1
15Fouls17
2Offsides2
6Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callInter Miami CF to win 66%Draw (18% called)
Total goals3.84
Both teams to score65%Yes
Second pickOver 3.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Inter Miami CFAtlanta United FC
2.6
Goals+1.4
1.2
17.8
Shots+4.5
13.3
7.7
On target+2.9
4.8
6.2
Corners+0.9
5.3
Inter Miami CFAtlanta United FC
0.7
Goals+0.5
0.3
8.4
Shots+2.3
6.1
3.7
On target+1.4
2.3
2.9
Corners+0.4
2.5
Inter Miami CFAtlanta United FC
1.9
Goals+0.9
1.0
9.4
Shots+2.2
7.2
4.0
On target+1.5
2.5
3.3
Corners+0.5
2.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Inter Miami CF to score92%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Atlanta United FC to score70%

First half — what we expected

Inter Miami CF
72%
to score before half-time
Atlanta United FC
26%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Inter Miami CFAtlanta United FC
8.41st-half shots6.1
3.71st-half shots on target2.3
2.91st-half corners2.5

First-half chances

67%Chance of 7+ shots40%
44%Chance of 9+ shots20%
68%Chance of 3+ shots on target39%
32%Chance of 5+ shots on target11%
73%Chance of 2+ corners66%
33%Chance of 4+ corners26%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Inter Miami CF8.49.4
Shots · Atlanta United FC6.17.2
Shots on target · Inter Miami CF3.74.0
Shots on target · Atlanta United FC2.32.5
Corners · Inter Miami CF2.93.3
Corners · Atlanta United FC2.52.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Inter Miami CF 3 · Draws 0 · Atlanta United FC 2
Atlanta United FC in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Oct 2025Inter Miami CF 4–0 Atlanta United
Mar 2025Atlanta United 1–2 Inter Miami CF
Nov 2024Inter Miami CF 2–3 Atlanta United
Nov 2024Atlanta United 2–1 Inter Miami CF
Oct 2024Inter Miami CF 2–1 Atlanta United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Inter Miami CF vs Atlanta United FC?

Inter Miami CF and Atlanta United FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.8 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 11 shots (3 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 15 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%.

What was the final score in Inter Miami CF vs Atlanta United FC?

Inter Miami CF 2–2 Atlanta United FC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 66%, the draw 18% and Atlanta United FC 16%.

What were the stats in Inter Miami CF vs Atlanta United FC?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 3–5, Corners 6–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 15–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 6–3.

Did both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Atlanta United FC?

Yes — both Inter Miami CF and Atlanta United FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Atlanta United FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF to win 66%, it finished Draw (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Inter Miami CF form →Atlanta United FC form →