Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 11 shots (0 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 75%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 11 shots (0 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
Houston Dynamo FC 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 42%, the draw 25% and San Jose Earthquakes 33%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.2, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 0–4, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 1–2, Corners 7–4, Saves 4–0, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so Houston Dynamo FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Houston Dynamo FC 42%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Missed.