USA: MLSSunday 30 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Houston Dynamo FC vSan Jose Earthquakes

Most likely scoreline
1–1
11% of the time · 2.90 goals expected
Houston Dynamo FC 41%Draw 30%San Jose Earthquakes 28%
How we get there
Houston Dynamo FCstepSan Jose Earthquakes
1.60Base xG · rolling 26-match1.30
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.60Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.30

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Houston Dynamo average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). San Jose Earthquakes average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
7
5
2
1
1
9
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
3
1
4
2
2
1
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Houston Dynamo FC fixtures & form →San Jose Earthquakes fixtures & form →

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Houston Dynamo 41% · draw 30% · San Jose Earthquakes 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Houston Dynamo predictions & form →San Jose Earthquakes predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.