Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK
Houston Dynamo FC 42Draw 25San Jose Earthquakes 33
The call
83%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 11 shots (0 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.

Houston…Full-time statsSan Jose…
42%Possession58%
0.7Expected goals (xG)1.2
11Shots11
0Shots on target4
6Shots inside box6
1Big chances2
7Corners4
4Saves0
8Fouls9
1Offsides0
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultHouston Dynamo FC 42%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.20
Both teams to score63%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 83%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals83%
Houston Dynamo FC to score81%
San Jose Earthquakes to score77%
Over 2.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Houston Dynamo FCBefore half-timeSan Jose Earthquakes
56%Chance to score42%
6.5Expected shots5.0
2.2Expected shots on target2.4
1.6Expected corners2.7
75%Chance of 5+ shots55%
46%Chance of 7+ shots25%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
37%Chance of 3+ shots on target42%
46%Chance of 2+ corners72%
10%Chance of 4+ corners29%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 75%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5HOU 2 · D 2 · SAN 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Aug 2026Houston Dynamo FC 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes
Aug 2025Houston Dynamo FC 1–2 San Jose Earthquakes
May 2025San Jose Earthquakes 3–3 Houston Dynamo FC
Jul 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Houston Dynamo FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 11 shots (0 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Houston Dynamo FC 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 42%, the draw 25% and San Jose Earthquakes 33%.

What were the stats in Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.2, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 0–4, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 1–2, Corners 7–4, Saves 4–0, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

No. It finished 0–0, so Houston Dynamo FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Houston Dynamo FC 42%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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