Getafe vs Celta Vigo prediction — LaLiga · Mon 7 Sept · 18:00 UK

LaLiga · Mon 7 Sept · 18:00 UK
Getafe 36Draw 31Celta Vigo 34
Our call before kickoff
66%
Getafe or draw
Landed
2.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
57%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
44%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
38%

How it finished

Getafe and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Getafe at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.2 goals and the match produced 2. Getafe had 10 shots (2 on target) to Celta Vigo's 16 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.0.

GetafeFull-time statsCelta Vigo
30%Possession70%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.0
10Shots16
2Shots on target3
6Shots inside box8
2Big chances2
3Corners5
2Saves1
8Fouls9
0Offsides3
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGetafe or draw 66%Draw (31% called)
Total goals2.22
Both teams to score44%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 64%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GetafeCelta Vigo
1.1
Goals
1.1
14.1
Shots+5.8
8.3
4.8
On target+2.6
2.1
5.9
Corners+2.5
3.3
GetafeCelta Vigo
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.3
6.3
Shots+2.4
3.9
2.2
On target+1.2
1.0
2.8
Corners+1.2
1.6
GetafeCelta Vigo
0.7
Goals
0.8
7.8
Shots+3.4
4.4
2.5
On target+1.4
1.2
3.1
Corners+1.3
1.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals82%
Getafe to score67%
Celta Vigo to score66%
Over 1.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Getafe
37%
to score before half-time
Celta Vigo
31%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 57%

GetafeCelta Vigo
6.31st-half shots3.9
2.21st-half shots on target1.0
2.81st-half corners1.6

First-half chances

68%Chance of 5+ shots35%
42%Chance of 7+ shots15%
86%Chance of 1+ shots on target57%
38%Chance of 3+ shots on target<10%
71%Chance of 2+ corners43%
30%Chance of 4+ corners10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Getafe6.37.8
Shots · Celta Vigo3.94.4
Shots on target · Getafe2.22.5
Shots on target · Celta Vigo1.01.2
Corners · Getafe2.83.1
Corners · Celta Vigo1.61.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Getafe 2 · Draws 1 · Celta Vigo 2
Celta Vigo in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Getafe 0–0 Celta Vigo
Aug 2025Celta Vigo 0–2 Getafe
May 2025Getafe 1–2 Celta Vigo
Nov 2024Celta Vigo 1–0 Getafe
Feb 2024Getafe 3–2 Celta Vigo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Getafe and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Getafe at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.2 goals and the match produced 2. Getafe had 10 shots (2 on target) to Celta Vigo's 16 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Getafe 1–1 Celta Vigo, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Getafe 36%, the draw 31% and Celta Vigo 34%.

What were the stats in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.0, Shots 10–16, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 2–2, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

Yes — both Getafe and Celta Vigo scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Getafe vs Celta Vigo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Getafe or draw 66%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 64%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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