Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction — Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK
Fulham 37Draw 28Crystal Palace 35
The call
37%
Fulham to win
2.7
Goals expected
13d 13hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Fulham or draw65%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
BTTS54%
Fulham win to nil20%
Crystal Palace or draw63%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D W L L D W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FUL 1 · D 1 · CRY 3

Head to head

Jan 2026Crystal Palace 1–1 Fulham
Dec 2025Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace
Mar 2025Fulham 0–3 Crystal Palace
Feb 2025Fulham 0–2 Crystal Palace
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Common questions

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Bawler's model rates this match: Fulham are favoured (37% win probability vs 35% for Crystal Palace, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace (13.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.66.

How does Bawler predict Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Fulham 37%, the draw 28% and Crystal Palace 35%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.36 and away expected goals 1.30.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.66. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Fulham form →Crystal Palace form →