Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 20 Sept · 15:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 20 Sept · 15:00 UK
Fenerbahce 74Draw 17Eyupspor 9
The call
74%
Fenerbahce to win
3.1
Goals expected
14d 05hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Fenerbahce to score91%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 3.5 goals63%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Fenerbahce
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Talisca
MF · 5.7 shots expected
100%
88%
62%
Marco Asensio
MF · 3.7 shots expected
98%
71%
35%
Fred
MF · 3.1 shots expected
96%
64%
27%
Anthony Musaba
MF · 2.9 shots expected
95%
51%
16%
Kerem Aktürkoglu
MF · 2.4 shots expected
91%
65%
29%
Dorgeles Nene
MF · 2.3 shots expected
90%
64%
27%
Eyupspor
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Prince Ampem
MF · 1.4 shots expected
76%
37%
8%
Emre Akbaba
MF · 1.4 shots expected
75%
37%
8%
Umut Bozok
FW · 1.2 shots expected
71%
47%
13%
Metehan Altunbas
MF · 1.2 shots expected
71%
37%
8%
Serdar Gürler
MF · 1.0 shots expected
62%
25%
3%
Talha Ülvan
DF · 0.7 shots expected
49%
18%
2%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L D W W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+1.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FEN 2 · D 2 · EYU 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2026Fenerbahçe 3–3 Eyüpspor
Dec 2025Eyüpspor 0–3 Fenerbahçe
May 2025Fenerbahçe 2–1 Eyüpspor
Dec 2024Eyüpspor 1–1 Fenerbahçe
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

Bawler's model rates this match: Fenerbahce are favoured (74% win probability vs 9% for Eyupspor, 17% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Fenerbahce 2-0 Eyupspor (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.10.

How does Bawler predict Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Fenerbahce 74%, the draw 17% and Eyupspor 9%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

BTTS: No (54% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 2.39 and away expected goals 0.71.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.10. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Fenerbahce form →Eyupspor form →