FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Erzurum BB 2–0 EyupsporMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Erzurum BB or draw at 77%. Bawler had Erzurum BB at 48%, the draw at 28% and Eyupspor at 23%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Erzurum BB win
48%
Result
Draw
28%
Eyupspor win
23%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 0.9
Total 2.4
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.4 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.4.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Erzurum BB or draw
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Not both teams to score
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 22%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.