How it finished
Real Sociedad beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Elche at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Sociedad 34%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Elche had 20 shots (10 on target) to Real Sociedad's 13 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 2.5 to 0.6, so Elche created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Elche vs Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Elche at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Sociedad 34%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Elche had 20 shots (10 on target) to Real Sociedad's 13 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 2.5 to 0.6, so Elche created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Elche vs Real Sociedad?
Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Elche 40%, the draw 26% and Real Sociedad 34%.
What were the stats in Elche vs Real Sociedad?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–0.6, Shots 20–13, Shots on target 10–6, Shots inside box 15–8, Big chances 5–1, Corners 6–7, Saves 3–8, Fouls 9–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–1, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Elche vs Real Sociedad?
Yes — both Elche and Real Sociedad scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Elche vs Real Sociedad right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Elche or draw 66%, it finished Real Sociedad won (34% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.