FT · Spain: La Liga · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Elche 2–3 Real MadridMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Elche win
22%
Draw
23%
Real Madrid win
54%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.9
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 3.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.