FT · Spain: La Liga · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Athletic Club 1–1 ElcheMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Athletic Club win
54%
Draw
25%
Result
Elche win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.