What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
Bawler's model rates this match: Columbus Crew are favoured (56% win probability vs 22% for Red Bull New York, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Columbus Crew 1-1 Red Bull New York (9.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.32.
How does Bawler predict Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Columbus Crew 56%, the draw 22% and Red Bull New York 22%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
BTTS: Yes (62% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.07 and away expected goals 1.25.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.32. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).