How it finished
Red Bull New York beat Columbus Crew 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Red Bull New York 22%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Columbus Crew had 12 shots (4 on target) to Red Bull New York's 15 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.4, so Columbus Crew created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 87%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
Red Bull New York beat Columbus Crew 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Red Bull New York 22%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Columbus Crew had 12 shots (4 on target) to Red Bull New York's 15 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.4, so Columbus Crew created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
Columbus Crew 0–1 Red Bull New York, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 56%, the draw 22% and Red Bull New York 22%.
What were the stats in Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.4, Shots 12–15, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 4–3, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?
No. It finished 0–1, so Columbus Crew failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 78%, it finished Red Bull New York won (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Missed.