FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Atlanta United FC 2–3 Chicago Fire FCMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Atlanta United FC win
34%
Draw
25%
Chicago Fire FC win
41%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.