Charlton Athletic and Portsmouth drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlton Athletic at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. Charlton Athletic had 11 shots (3 on target) to Portsmouth's 9 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 56%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Charlton Athletic and Portsmouth drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlton Athletic at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. Charlton Athletic had 11 shots (3 on target) to Portsmouth's 9 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.3.
Charlton Athletic 0–0 Portsmouth, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlton Athletic 36%, the draw 29% and Portsmouth 34%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.3, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 6–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so Charlton Athletic failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlton Athletic or draw 66%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No.