What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?
Bawler's model rates this match: Charlton Athletic are favoured (37% win probability vs 34% for Portsmouth, 29% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Charlton Athletic 1-1 Portsmouth (13.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.43.
How does Bawler predict Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Charlton Athletic 37%, the draw 29% and Portsmouth 34%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?
BTTS: No (50% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 1.25 and away expected goals 1.18.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.43. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).