CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy prediction — MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 00:30 UK
CF Montréal 44Draw 26LA Galaxy 31
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

CF Montréal and LA Galaxy drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (6 on target) to LA Galaxy's 9 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.

CF MontréalFull-time statsLA Galaxy
57%Possession43%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.2
15Shots9
6Shots on target5
9Shots inside box8
2Big chances1
6Corners5
3Saves4
9Fouls8
3Offsides2
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCF Montréal 44%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
CF Montréal to score80%
Over 1.5 goals79%
LA Galaxy to score73%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5MON 1 · D 0 · LAL 4
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Jul 2022LA Galaxy 4–0 CF Montreal
Sept 2019LA Galaxy 2–1 CF Montreal
May 2018CF Montreal 0–1 LA Galaxy
Apr 2017LA Galaxy 2–0 CF Montreal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?

CF Montréal and LA Galaxy drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (6 on target) to LA Galaxy's 9 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.

What was the final score in CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?

CF Montréal 2–2 LA Galaxy, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 44%, the draw 26% and LA Galaxy 31%.

What were the stats in CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.2, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 6–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 9–8, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–0, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?

Yes — both CF Montréal and LA Galaxy scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said CF Montréal 44%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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