CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC prediction — MLS · Thu 10 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 10 Sept · 00:30 UK
CF Montréal 39Draw 26Charlotte FC 35
The call
65%
CF Montréal or draw
3.0
Goals expected
14d 10hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals80%
CF Montréal to score78%
Charlotte FC to score77%
Under 3.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L L D D W D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5MON 3 · D 0 · CHA 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Sept 2025Charlotte FC 1–4 CF Montréal
Apr 2025CF Montréal 0–1 Charlotte FC
Oct 2024Charlotte FC 2–0 CF Montréal
Sept 2024CF Montréal 2–1 Charlotte FC
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Common questions

Who will win CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?

Bawler's model rates this match: CF Montréal are favoured (39% win probability vs 35% for Charlotte FC, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is CF Montréal 1-1 Charlotte FC (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.99.

How does Bawler predict CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives CF Montréal 39%, the draw 26% and Charlotte FC 35%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?

BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.53 and away expected goals 1.45.

Over or under 2.5 goals in CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.99. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →CF Montréal form →Charlotte FC form →