How it finished
Charlotte FC beat CF Montréal 2–1. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. CF Montréal had 17 shots (5 on target) to Charlotte FC's 15 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?
Charlotte FC beat CF Montréal 2–1. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. CF Montréal had 17 shots (5 on target) to Charlotte FC's 15 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.5.
What was the final score in CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?
CF Montréal 1–2 Charlotte FC, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 38%, the draw 26% and Charlotte FC 36%.
What were the stats in CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.5, Shots 17–15, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–3, Corners 11–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC?
Yes — both CF Montréal and Charlotte FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs Charlotte FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CF Montréal or draw 64%, it finished Charlotte FC won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.