FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 27 September 2026
CF Montréal 3–1 FC CincinnatiMatch recap · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
CF Montréal win
39%
Result
Draw
24%
FC Cincinnati win
37%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.7
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 2.0
From the match itself
The match produced 0.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.