FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 15 October 2026
CF Montréal 0–3 Atlanta United FCMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was CF Montréal or draw at 69%. Bawler had CF Montréal at 43%, the draw at 26% and Atlanta United FC at 31%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
CF Montréal win
43%
Draw
26%
Atlanta United FC win
31%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.3
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 2.1
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.