England: ChampionshipWednesday 02 Sept, 19:00 UTC

Burnleyv Middlesbrough prediction

The model's call
37%
Burnley win
1–1 is the single most likely exact score — but only 13% of the time
Burnley 37%Draw 29%Middlesbrough 34%

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

What the counted stats say

Burnley average 3.9 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Middlesbrough average 5.9 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Burnley vs Middlesbrough — head-to-head

Burnley and Middlesbrough have met 10 times since 12 April 2014. Burnley have won 4, Middlesbrough have won 2, with 4 drawn (10–7 on aggregate).

DateResultCompetition
29 December 2024Middlesbrough 0–0 BurnleyChampionship
6 December 2024Burnley 1–1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
7 April 2023Middlesbrough 1–2 BurnleyChampionship
17 December 2022Burnley 3–1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
8 April 2017Middlesbrough 0–0 BurnleyPremier League

The model's verdict for this fixture: Burnley 37% · draw 29% · Middlesbrough 34%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Burnley predictions & form →Middlesbrough predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →

More predictions for these teams

Burnley fixtures & form →Middlesbrough fixtures & form →
More match predictions

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.