FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Swansea City 3–1 BurnleyMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Swansea City win
33%
Result
Draw
28%
Burnley win
38%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.3
Total 2.6
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.