How it finished
Benfica beat Gil Vicente 3–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Benfica had 17 shots (5 on target) to Gil Vicente's 4 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Benfica beat Gil Vicente 3–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Benfica had 17 shots (5 on target) to Gil Vicente's 4 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Benfica 3–1 Gil Vicente, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 63%, the draw 22% and Gil Vicente 15%.
What were the stats in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.1, Shots 17–4, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 5–2, Corners 14–0, Saves 1–2, Fouls 11–18, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
Yes — both Benfica and Gil Vicente scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Benfica vs Gil Vicente right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Benfica to win 63%, it finished Benfica won (63% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.