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Who will win Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Bawler's model rates this match: San Jose Earthquakes are favoured (46% win probability vs 30% for Austin FC, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Austin FC 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (10.5% probability). Expected total goals: 3.29.
How does Bawler predict Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Austin FC 30%, the draw 24% and San Jose Earthquakes 46%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
BTTS: Yes (64% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.45 and away expected goals 1.83.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.29. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).