How it finished
Austin FC and San Diego FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Austin FC had 13 shots (6 on target) to San Diego FC's 15 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we said the chances were
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Austin FC and San Diego FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Austin FC had 13 shots (6 on target) to San Diego FC's 15 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Austin FC 3–3 San Diego FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austin FC 32%, the draw 25% and San Diego FC 42%.
What were the stats in Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.9, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 4–1, Corners 4–1, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–6, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Yes — both Austin FC and San Diego FC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Austin FC vs San Diego FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Diego FC or draw 68%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.