FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 18 October 2026
Austin FC 1–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 18 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Vancouver Whitecaps to win at 62%. Bawler had Austin FC at 17%, the draw at 21% and Vancouver Whitecaps at 62%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Austin FC win
17%
Draw
21%
Vancouver Whitecaps win
62%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 2.2
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Pre-match: 62%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 40%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.