Atlético Madrid beat Manchester United 2–0. Atlético Madrid had 11 shots (5 on target) to Manchester United's 9 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Atlético Madrid beat Manchester United 2–0. Atlético Madrid had 11 shots (5 on target) to Manchester United's 9 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.
Atlético Madrid 2–0 Manchester United, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Madrid 32%, the draw 24% and Manchester United 43%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.0, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 2–0, so Manchester United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.