Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United prediction — Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK
32Atlético Madrid win24Draw43Manchester United win
Full time
2–0

How it finished

Atlético Madrid beat Manchester United 2–0. Atlético Madrid had 11 shots (5 on target) to Manchester United's 9 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.

Atlético…Full-time statsManchester…
55%Possession45%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.0
11Shots9
5Shots on target4
6Shots inside box6
2Big chances4
2Corners5
4Saves3
11Fouls13
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Manchester United win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.7
3.2 in total
Both teams score
64%
Yes
3+ goals
63%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Atlético MadridAtlético MadridManchester UnitedManchester United
1.5Goals1.7
15.7Shots10.3
6.9On target4.4
5.9Corners5.8
Atlético MadridAtlético MadridManchester UnitedManchester United
0.6Goals0.6
7.3Shots4.8
3.1On target2.1
2.8Corners2.7
Atlético MadridAtlético MadridManchester UnitedManchester United
0.9Goals1.2
8.4Shots5.5
3.9On target2.3
3.1Corners3.1

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals83%
Manchester United to score83%
Atlético Madrid to score77%
Goal before half-time69%

First half — what we expected

Atlético Madrid
44%
to score before half-time
Manchester United
44%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Atlético MadridAtlético MadridManchester UnitedManchester United
67%6+ shots35%
44%8+ shots16%
77%2+ shots on target58%
36%4+ shots on target18%
71%2+ corners70%
31%4+ corners30%

League position

Manchester United in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Aug 2026Manchester United 2–1 Atlético Madrid
Jul 2022Manchester United 0–1 Atlético Madrid
Mar 2022Manchester United 0–1 Atlético Madrid
Feb 2022Atlético Madrid 1–1 Manchester United
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Atlético Madrid form →Manchester United form →

Common questions

Who won Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Atlético Madrid beat Manchester United 2–0. Atlético Madrid had 11 shots (5 on target) to Manchester United's 9 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Atlético Madrid 2–0 Manchester United, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Madrid 32%, the draw 24% and Manchester United 43%.

What were the stats in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.0, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

No. It finished 2–0, so Manchester United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.